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Loss Forecasting Manager
1 month ago
Job Summary:
We are Seeking an experienced Loss Forecasting Manager with 4-5 Years of experience in loss forecasting and overall, 8-10 Years of overall experience to lead our loss forecasting team, focusing on the credit card business. The ideal candidate will have strong business knowledge, banking domain experience, and expertise in Vintage forecasting, CCAR models, Roll Rate Forecasting, and Delinquency forecasting. This Role requires leadership skills to manage clients, partners and inspire and elevate a team of analysts.
Key Responsibilities:
- Develop and maintain loss forecasting models for the credit card portfolio using statistical and machine learning techniques.
- Oversee the development and validation of CCAR Models, including scenario analysis and stress testing, to ensure compliance with regulatory requirements.
- Conduct risk assessments and develop mitigation strategies incorporating PD (Probability of Default), LGD (Loss given Default) and EAD (Exposure of Default).
- Utilize Vintage analysis and roll rate models for forecasting delinquency and charge-off rates.
- Implement and refine delinquency forecasting models, including time series analysis and logistic regression.
- Collaborate with finance, underwriting and collection teams to gather data and insights.
- Ensure compliance with regulatory standards, including CECL (Current credit card loss) and stress testing.
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