Caseload Forecaster,

We are proud to be an Equal Opportunity Employer. We are actively working to build an equitable agency with the as our guide toward our vision of an agency free of racism, discrimination and bias. We believe that teams in which everyone can show up as their full authentic self are key to creating a thriving workforce that can better serve communities. We welcome members of historically underrepresented racial/ethnic groups, women, individuals with disabilities, veterans, LGBTQIA2S+ community members, and others to apply.

This announcement will remain open until filled. The initial application screening process will be every 2 weeks. We reserve the right to close this position should a satisfactory number of qualified candidates apply. Interested candidates are encouraged to submit their application materials without delay in applying

JOIN OUR TEAM Caseload Forecaster (Economist 4)

Make a difference in the lives of Oregonians by furthering the mission of the Oregon Department of Human Services (ODHS) and the Oregon Health Authority (OHA) to serve those in need. Our team is tasked with investigating and charting the intersection between public policy and demand for services, as well as the impact of economic and public policy decisions that affect one-in-four Oregonians. Our results are used to build evidence-based budgets for the two largest agencies in Oregon government.

Caseload forecasters in our team need to have a background in econometrics or other statistics for the social sciences that can be applied to the development of projections of statewide caseloads for human services. Areas of emphasis include Medicaid, disability care, and social supports like Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) and Temporary Assistance of Needy Families (TANF). You will need to demonstrate a proven track record of developing and modifying statistical models from real-world, imperfect data.

About Office of Forecasting, Research and Analysis

The Office of Forecasting Research and Analysis provides statewide caseload forecasts for all major ODHS and OHA case-based programs, as well as caseload related research/analysis for budgeting, policy development, and operational planning. Our forecasters are supported by a data warehouse with dedicated programmers and analysts who integrate data across multiple programs and for multiple agencies.

OFRA strives to operate in an independent, objective, and transparent manner.

Oregon Department of Human Services (ODHS), A place to belong and make a difference

• When you join the , you join a community of over 10,000 employees dedicated to serving and helping Oregonians achieve wellbeing and independence through opportunities that protect, empower, respect choice, and preserve dignity.
• Connect with ODHS Employee Resource Groups (ERGs) and find a place to belong, build community and participate in shared learning. ERGs are employee-driven committees that support each other as well as the ODHS’ overall mission and vision. 
• We are committed to building an antiracist and equitable agency. Equity is foundational to our role as a human services agency and we are committed to integrating equity into all we do. The has four points that explain the agency's goals related to equity, inclusion, and racial justice.
• We know that life is unpredictable and ODHS cares about keeping you well. Enjoy a work-life balance, 11 paid holidays a year, flexible work schedules, and including health, dental, vision and much more

Minimum Qualifications:

• A Master's degree in economics or a related field and three to five years’ experience doing economic or related research or econometric forecasting; OR
• A Ph.D. in economics or a related field and one-year experience doing economic or related research.
• Special consideration will be paid to applicants who have a background that includes analysis of state-based administrative data or experience with human services. Combinations of experience with forecasting, analysis of government data, and public policy will be considered in concert.
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