Economist/Statistician

Summary

This position is in the National Office of the United States Department of Labor, Employment & Training Administration, Office of Unemployment Insurance, Division of Fiscal and Actuarial Services.

This position is inside the bargaining unit.

Duties

This is a career ladder progression position; the duties described below are at the full performance level, GS-13. If selected at a grade below GS-13, the incumbent will serve in a developmental capacity, wherein the work is less complex in nature and the supervisor, or a senior level employee provides specific instruction and guidance. At the GS-13 grade level, the incumbent: Provides expert analysis, guidance, and technical assistance to Federal and state partners on complex statistical modeling techniques utilized to predict which unemployment insurance (UI) claimants are most likely to exhaust their UI benefit entitlement. Uses appropriate software and modeling techniques to create and test the models and ensures model documentation is maintained and updated to reflect any changes. Provides technical assistance to states on trust fund forecasting, benefit financing, and related areas. Develops new state models upon request and implements model modifications and improvements as needed. Develops projections of state unemployment insurance (UI) benefit outlays, workloads, and revenues based on a forecast or set of assumptions for employment, unemployment, and other macroeconomic variables. Independently plans and conducts complex and difficult economic and statistical analyses and research involving topics related to agency programs. Analyzes state law and law changes with respect to benefit outlays, revenues, and trust fund levels and makes recommendations to senior staff on determinations concerning relief from loan interest and/or loan repayment provisions.

---